1 February 2011
"The problem with focusing on a specific distance is that tactical options are
not static. I wish people would give us credit for good campaign planning."
Sir, agree people get wrapped around a specific distance the same way they get
wrapped around a specific piece of equipment vice a capability. Frankly, the
HASC is not being helpful in all this after reading ACMC's testimony to
Congress. It appears Rep Hunter tried to throw ACMC under the bus in favor of
bankrupting the USMC over the EFV to save General Dynamics; Hunter's number one
campaign contributor. USMC cannot afford the EFV. What does Hunter want DOD to
give up to save and fully fund the EFV ?
V/r GI
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GI: great to hear from you.
You ask a good question. As the CMC has said, if Congress forces us to buy the
EFV, it will be a "catastrophic success."
Best, Bob
Robert O. Work
Under Secretary of the Navy
-----------------ANOTHER RESPONSE------
Sir, as long as I have known you, you always do your homework and due diligence! For the life of me do not understand why folks do not get it. As you note if Congress forces USMC to buy the EFV, it will be a "catastrophic success." with a host of unintended consequences As for HASC and Rep Hunter (GD is his number one contribute), got to tell DOD what DOD has to give up to get the EFV. I am not in favor of EFV (am in favor of the capability), USMC cannot afford for the contractor never produced, cost over was a past time for them, and regrettably Quantico did the suspended animation gig as the money was sucked up. By the way you did well for an artillery officer; now it is time to bring some dignity to the HA$C for it's the same ole crap-o-la...fire for effect, over!
V/r GI
----------------ANOTHER RESPONSE-------
GI: The total vehicle requirement for the Marine Corps, validated through the
FSRG, is about 32,500 vehicles.
we are taking to $2.8 billion across the FYDP earmarked to start building 573
EFV to do the following:
$500 million for New Amphibious Vehicle, cost as major KPP
$400 million for 3 year acceleration of Marine Personnel Carrier, wheeled,
V-hulled armored personnel carrier, IOC now 2017/18
$200 million for HMMWV recap/modernization
$700 million for LAV survivability upgrades, M1A2 upgrades, and AVLB
$1 billion for AAV upgrades (major upgrade of 392 AAVs for 4 Bn forcible entry
lift, survivability enhancements for some 300 more AAVs.
If we buy the 573 EFVs, between 2018 and 2015, we will consume 100% of the total
Marine Corps historical vehicle procurement budget; 50% of the entire Marine
Corps procurement account; and 90% of total vehicle O&M.
This is about as much of a no-brainer as can be.
Best, Bob
Robert O. Work
Under Secretary of the Navy
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Yes, sir, you nailed it: Right you are ! "If we buy the 573 EFVs, between 2018 and 2015, we will consume 100% of the total Marine Corps historical vehicle procurement budget". It cannot be any clearer to me than that...wish the HASC could grasp this as well and move on. Will be in DC soon and I will buy the Guinness.
V/r GI
-----------------ANOTHER RESPONSE------
Dear Mr. Secretary:
In addition to squandering a large amount of defense money on EFVs for
Marines, there is another case of unnecessary expenditure that could even
top this. The Marines face another critical amphibious assault problem the
current attempted "solving" of which will cost a fortune with small results:
the absence, since the 1992 decommissioning of the last Iowa BBs, of any
effective naval surface fire support (NSFS). The solution has been sought
with deploying the problematic DDG-1000; however, the Marines have made it
clear that this mission would require at least 24 of these ships. The order
is down to three with each ship now costing up to an estimated $6 billion.
The Marines have made clear that carrier air cannot substitute for NSFS.
Former CMC General Hagee complained that air strikes can be "weathered out."
Later the March 18, 2009 report Amphibious Operations in the 21st Century
signed by MCCDC CG LTGEN George J. Flynn complained that the current
short-range of Navy guns results in "an over reliance on more expensive -
weather dependent - carriers and aircraft." The report also favorably
referred to the 2007 Joint Advanced Warfighting School's study on NSFS, the
most exhaustive and best documented such study in recent memory which
received a award for excellence from the National Defense University
Foundation. This study made a very strong and persuasive case for major
caliber guns (11-inch and above) for NSFS using modernized battleships (with
missiles and enhance range projectiles) on an interim basis to be replaced
with Capital Surface Warfare (CWS) ships, large gun, extensively armored
platforms, less costly to build, operate and man than large carriers which
would deliver substantially less ordnance than CWSs in any given period.
In the November 19, 2004 GAO report on NSFS, the Marines had the temerity to
support reactivating two battleships [Iowa and Wisconsin]. Rear Admiral
Charles Hamilton, in charge of the then DDX-1000 program, saw this as a
direct threat to his program and in a few months launched a full court press
misinformation campaign on the Hill which got both ships stricken from the
NVR and donated. The HASC in 2006 issued instructions to the Navy to regard
these ships as potential mobilization assets inter alia whose infrastructure
must be preserved. These instructions were referred to in the FY07 NDAA,
but the Navy has largely ignored them and continues to get rid of all BB
spare parts and other support to ensure that the BBs can never be returned
to service.
In connection with waste-of-money programs, you might want to read in the
January 2011 USNI Proceedings (p.17) the article on the LCS program entitled
"The Wrong Ship at the Wrong Time."
Respectfully yours,
William Lloyd Stearman, PhD
Senior [flag-rank] US Foreign Service officer (Ret.)
National Security Council staff member under four Presidents
Former US Navy officer with considerable combat experience
---------------ANOTHER RESPONSE-----
This says it all:
General Dynamics is top donor to Congressionals: Hunter, Davis, et al
The company, fighting to save vehicle contract, has given $234,500 to Armed Services Committee members
By Danielle Cervantes
San Diego Tribune
As General Dynamics tries to save its $15 billion defense contract to build the Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle, The Watchdog decided to see how much money the company has given to members of the House Armed Services Committee.
Monday, January 31, 2011 at 4:25 p.m.
Members of the House Armed Services Committee who reported contributions in 2010 of more than $10,000 from General Dynamics through employees or political action committee:
Joe Courtney (D-Conn.): $32,350
Jim Langevin (D-R.I.): $24,050
Chairman Howard P. “Buck” McKeon (R-Santa Clarita): $20,000
Duncan D. Hunter (R-Alpine): $15,600
Susan A. Davis (D-San Diego): $10,500
Silvestre Reyes (D-Texas: $10,500
Dutch Ruppersberger (D-Md.): $10,500
Todd Akin (R-Mo.): $10,000
Jeff Miller (R-Fla.): $10,000
Mike D. Rogers (R-Ala.): $10,000
Tim Ryan (D-Ohio): $10,000
Adam Smith (D-Wash.): $10,000
The amphibious assault craft, tested last month at Camp Pendleton, has been proposed for cancelation in Defense Secretary Robert Gates’ latest budget cuts.
At least 21 Armed Services Committee members received General Dynamics contributions in the 2010 election cycle, totaling $234,500. Rep. Susan Davis, D-San Diego, and Rep. Duncan Hunter, R-Alpine, sit on the committee.
Hunter received $15,600 from General Dynamics. That’s about 2 percent of his total contributions, and it makes the company his top donor, according to the database at OpenSecrets.org.
Davis received $10,500 from the company, about 1.7 percent of her donations — also making General Dynamics her top contribitor.
In its first hearing of the year, the committee met last week to examine Gates’ recommended $78 billion in military spending cuts.
Hunter wants the vehicle program to continue, and he said that General Dynamics’ contributions — made through political action committees and employees of the contractor — have “zero play” in the meetings since everything the committee considers is on an advisory basis and in the case of General Dynamics, put to bid by the Department of Defense.
“It doesn’t matter who gave whom anything. It doesn’t matter what you’ve done or what you’ve given,” he said. “I’ve probably gone to bat more for companies that make good products that don’t even know my name.”
Davis said she doesn’t support the program at this point.
“Unless I hear a compelling need for the EFV from our men and women in uniform, in this instance I am inclined to support the decision of the Secretary of Defense, Secretary of the Navy, and Commandant of the Marine Corps to terminate this program.”
Neither of the representatives’ financial disclosures since 2008 show investments in General Dynamics or any other defense contractor. They also reported no travel or gifts from the firm. None of their 2009 Congressional earmarks were directed to the company.
Though it is no longer based in San Diego, General Dynamics owns shipbuilder NASSCO, which is based in the county and employes about 4,100, according to its corporate website. The EFV is made in Ohio.
Last week, the contractor announced the assault vehicle’s prototypes had excelled the latest performance testing at Camp Pendleton.
The vehicle was first envisioned during the Reagan administration and $3 billion has been invested in its development. According to The Washington Post, the price per vehicle has grown from $5 million in 1995 to $17 million in 2011.
GI
-------------------4TH GROUP OF RESPONSES------
2 February 2011
GI,
Thanks for the list of crooks to campaign/Vote against. We have been used and abused by the 'Powers that be' for far too long. Time to turn the tables and screw THEM.
Any EFV needs environmental survivability greater than that of a Jeep in a firefight with a Tiger Tank (or, more aptly, and historically true, than that of an M4 Sherman in a firefight with a Tiger Tank. THOSE crews were told by 'the powers that be' that the M4 was the best tank on the field, D-Day proved them liars. After we're committed, isn't when we want the TRUTH). I don't want MY kids/Grandkids murdered by the money hungry LIARS.
sniperbait66
------------------------ANOTHER RESPONSE------
An exchange of views re the character of a ship-to-shore transportation vehicle for execution of forcible entry across a defended beach is irrelevant when one considers the lack of ship-to-shore fire support. It may be that Marine Corps leadership is content with maintaining a "symbolic" mission capability. However, I seem to recall that the Marine Corps is the responsible agency for establishing amphibious warfare principles and guidelines for all, including the Army. If they have decided to abandon forcible entry across the beach it could relieve fiscal pressure across the family of programs related this mission capability. Recent history of how the Navy backed out of its responsibility to provide adequate fire support is presented by Dr. William Stearman who's interested/advice is bolstered by his experience during seven amphibious assaults in the Pacific Theater. I'm not adverse to abandoning the mission, I just hate to witness "making believe"; its dangerous.
Chuck Myers
-----------------------ANOTHER RESPONSE--------
Chuck
You make some very good points here. The big problem is the persistent Pentagon mantra "we'll never do another Normandy landing." In other words, amphibious warfare is finished. This is really beside the point. It is of prime strategic importance that we maintain a forcible entry from the sea capability for political/diplomatic reasons. For this we must have a "fleet in being" credible amphibious capability. For its credibility, an effective NSFS capability is essential. Whether or not we actually believe we will make any amphibious landings is really beside the point. In fact , since most of the world's population lives within 50 or so miles from the sea, the likelihood of being engaged in the littorals is, in any case, not exactly small. In any case, think of all the assets we put into our nuclear capability without really believing we will ever use nukes. I learned in 1959 during a critical conference on Berlin, which I attended, that we almost sold out Berlin because we believed in the "missile gap." For the first time I understood what strategic systems are really all about.They're the blue chips in the diplomatic poker game. I feel the same applies to forcible entry from the sea as a potential threat to the many in the world who do not wish us well. There may well be occasions when a timely visible show of force may be necessary to keep the peace or at least make a point. I can think of several such occasions in recent history. I might add that, as you know, in addition to my WWII experience (I also experienced combat in Vietnam), I have kept up to date on naval matters since then. Of course, as an old "Gator" officer, I have always felt close to the Marines. In the Big One it was Gators, Marines and CBs united, on occasion, against the Navy.
Best wishes,
Bill
-----------------------ANOTHER RESPONSE--------
All: I can't say this enough. The definition of an amphibious assault is very
simple: The principal type of amphibious operation that involves establishing a
force on a hostile or potentially hostile shore. The definition of forcible
entry is also very simple: Seizing and holding of a military lodgment in the
face of armed opposition.
This is about projecting a ready-to-fight combat force into an environment where
enemy action is expected. Period. There is nothing in the definition that says
you have to do this against an enemy surface. It makes far more sense to this
against an enemy gap. The Marines have be planning to do that since the
mid-1980s.
The question then is what kind of shaping/prep ops do you have to do to project
the force ashore, and what type of counter-attacks might you expect once you
seize the lodgment.
Amphibious assaults in the Pacific are therefore not the best model for NSFS
planning. Chance of Marines landing on a shore defended at the beachline is
remote. No major plans to seize heavily defended islands. There is a chance we
would seize small islands, but their fortifications would be far less than
anything faced in the Pacific or ETO. WE PLAN TO LAND WHERE THE ENEMY IS WEAK.
So the future NSFS model is closer to that used in the ETO for Army theater
entry ops. Length and density of the preliminary bombardments, and number of
gunfire ships, was much less than ETO.
Also, all bombardments prior to the advent of guided weapons must be reviewed
given the power of these weapons, and the fundamental change they have had on
massed fires.
Also no longer expect mechanized counter-attacks against lodgments. Major
threat is G-RAMM attacks.
Most recent CNA fires AOA concluded NSFS best met with 6-in and 5-in guided
rounds.
6-inch round progressing nicely. Problems with the 5-inch round, which will be
addressed once again in POM-13.
Again, this is all about good campaign planning, not rushing troops ashore.
With the capabilities portfolio we have, these types of operations can still be
done if planned smartly.
Best, Bob
Robert O. Work
Under Secretary of the Navy
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Amen to this: you write above:This is about projecting a ready-to-fight combat force into an environment where enemy action is expected. Period. There is nothing in the definition that says you have to do this against an enemy surface. It makes far more sense to this against an enemy gap. The Marines have been planning to do that since the mid-1980s.
S/f GI
-----------------5TH GROUP OF RESPONSES-------
3 February 2011
If we are to meet future requirements with fewer resources in both the Navy and Marine Corps then we must be creative in the way we project sea power and organize our naval expeditionary capabilities for maritime missions and sea-based intervention to include redefining amphibious operations. Whenever U.S. forces are deployed in the world with little or no logistics in place, only sea-based ground forces can offer sustaining combat power ashore from the inception of an operation to its conclusion. By maintaining a close relationship with the Navy and developing innovative sea-based initiatives/capabilities, both the Marine Corps and Navy will truly remain this country's force-in-readiness.....and relevant per article one of the US Constitution: raise an Army, maintain a Navy
The naval focus of effort has always been on getting to the crisis by the most expeditious means; be it by sea, air, or maritime pre-positioning force (MPF). Sadly/regretably,according to Inside Defense Maritime Prepositioning Force (Future), was axed in the Navy’s 30-year shipbuilding plan nevertheless, the Marine Corps has run sea basing tests searching for alternatives to the Maritime Prepositioning Force (Future). Fortunately, for the Nation the Marines have not lost sight of the utility of using the sea as maneuver space when faced with “geographic impediments.”
S/f GI
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GI: story is actually better than you might think.
We have agreement with SecDef, SecNav, CNO, and CMC on a 33-ship amphib force:
11 big decks; 11 LPD-17s; 11 LSD-41/49s.
We have 12 LSDs, and have fully funded a mid-life SLEP to get them to 40 years.
The LPD-17s program, despite its troubles, has given us a superb design.
Wellness program is fully funded. Big problem right now is Northrop Grumman
spin out. We can't complete the class until that is resolved.
We have 8 LHDs and 2 LHAs funded. The FY16 ship is the 11th big deck. We
expect to go back to a welldeck in either the 16 or 21 ship; 16 preferred. That
would give us one aviation design on each coast.
LSD(X) is a 17 ship. AOA completed this year.
We gave up on one MPFF to get three MPF squadrons with enhanced seabasing
capabilities. Each squadron will have an LMSR; a T-AKE; and an MLP. Far more
flexible force across the ROMO.
LCAC SLEP funded. SSC follow-on tracking. You know story on EFV.
Last year, we put 23 JHSVs in the 30 year shipbuilding plan. We are adjusting
the number this year, but will have many of these fine intra-theater connectors.
All in all, combination of amphibs/MPF/JHSV/sealift is quite capable.
Best, Bob
Robert O. Work
Under Secretary of the Navy
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This is an impressive amphib lift capability. More than I would have
guessed.
Bill Stearman
------------------ANOTHER RESPONSE---------
Sir, THIS IS REALLY GREAT NEWS.....you made my day !
V/r GI
-----------------ANOTHER RESPONSE----------
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF): A classic example of setting conditions that attempt to predict what an opponent will/may do to counter a classic "mass/speed/tactical opportunity" argument that "requires" the selected "opponent" to "counter" the U.S. strategy.
Problem with this platform centric "high cost/low return" strategy is that the opponent "always" gets a vote.
Build a complex "high cost" military platform & the military is compelled to "employ" the new weapon system. Remember the latest USMC Afghanistan experience employing MLRS: inappropriate targeting, poor delivery, massive over-match, high risk, low return: Outcome: remove MLRS from list of "approved" cold-war kinetic weapon systems employed within the COIN fight.
What must be considered with the EFV argument is "how" the USMC actually employs the platform: no impact no ID.
POWDER
--------------------6TH GROUP OF RESPONSES---------
4 February 2011
In the Southwest Pacific where I was in the first wave in nine assault
landings, McArthur always sought to land where the enemy had just pulled out
or had never occupied. He often succeeded. After experiencing BB and CA
bombardments, the Japanese ceased defending at the coast line when they
could. At Iwo Jima, however, they had to attack our troops as they landed.
The main problem with out BB bombardment at Iwo is that we didn't use AP
projectiles that could have more deeply penetrated their positions. On
Okinawa, the Japanese didn't defend at the coast line again to escape BB
bombardments. I remember the worst enemy fires we encountered were after we
had established a beachhead and the Japanese knew we would not shell close
to our troops. At Normandy the weapon system the Germans most feared were
our two WWI BBs. This was made clear in statements by the top German
generals there and even by Hitler. I also got the same view from
ex-Wehrmacht officers who had defended at Normandy.
As to guided 5 and 6 inch rounds for NSFS, in March 2000 a three star Marine
testified on the Hill that 5-inch rounds, including ERGM, "lacked lethality"
needed to meet Marine Corps NSFS requirements; nevertheless, the Navy
continued developing ERGM with periodic optimistic progress reports until
this clearly failing project was mercifully abandoned in 2008 after some
$600 million had been squandered on it. Obviously the 6-inch (or 155mm)
would be better, but is still limited against any kind of fortifications. In
any case it is better than nothing and certainly better than 5-inch. 8-inch
guns should certainly also be developed. They would be the best for NSFS of
all the less than major caliber guns.
I believe one of the Navy's main weaknesses in the post BB era is it
inability to display a visible show of force in high threat situations. A
carrier task force "show" of force 2 or 3 hundreds miles away from its
target becomes an abstraction and is essentially oxymoronic, to say the
least. Our present ships are, in any case, too vulnerable (see Cole
disaster) to risk going into any potential harm's way; moreover, our
warships with one small gun on the bow look more like merchant ships than
warships and certainly do not look threatening. We would do well to note
that the Soviets fully realized the importance of a ship's looking
threatening. They always, in any case, looked upon their armed forces as
primarily political instruments. (The threat of armed force is what held
their empire together and kept us on guard.) Their warships bristled with
ordnance that we conceal on our ships. See, for example, the now Russian
battle-cruiser Peter the Great. Former CMC PX Kelley once declared, "There
is no weapon system in the world that comes close to the visible symbol of
enormous power represented by the battleship." The Soviets were posing a
serious threat to Turkey until April 1946 when Missouri showed up off
Istanbul. The threat then began to substantially diminish. I believe a
strong case can be made that the appearance of a battleship off Kuwait City
in July 1990 could well have discouraged the Iraqi attack the set off the
Gulf War. Also, according to our last ambassador to Yugoslavia, in October
1991, a battleship off Dubrovnik prepared to fire on attacking Serb forces
might well have headed off the murderous fighting which subsequently
devasted former Yugoslavia. I got interested in BBs when, as head of the
NSC's Indochina staff in 1973, I concluded that the only threat that could
stop massive North Vietnamese violations of the recent Peace Accords was to
position a reactivated New Jersey off the DMZ. From my Vietnam service, I
knew that this was clearly the weapon system they by far most feared.
Unfortunately I couldn't sell this to my boss Henry Kissinger --probably
because reactivation would have taken too long. During its six months on the
gunline off Vietnam, New Jersey turned in a stellar performance. General
James Jones had this to say about it. "I owe my life to New Jersey. -- When
the enemy was attacking everything would go quiet when NJ appeared off
shore.-Within the arc of a battleship's guns war evaporates." When, in
April 1969, NJ rotated back to the US, the North Vietnamese insisted that
its return would jeopardize peace talks. (They never mentioned the four
carriers usually off Vietnam.) It therefore never returned. Then-CMC Leonard
Chapman declared that, off Vietnam, NJ "saved thousands of American lives."
How many American lives would have been saved had a BB been on the gunline
for all seven years of the war? (As one who came very close to being KIA in
Vietnam, I find this is an extremely vexing question.) In November 1964, a
Navy commission headed by VADM Edwin Hooper had recommended activating two
BBs and two CAs for possible Vietnam contingencies. The aviators who ran the
Navy ignored this request. We subsequently lost 1067 aircraft attacking
targets in North Vietnam, 80% of which could have been taken out with
16-inch guns. Finally to reduce this loss the Navy was forced to reactivate
New Jersey. In 1968 real progress was being made in greatly increasing 16
inch range when the Navy scrubbed this low cost program.
I grant that given the persistent, deepseated, albeit largely groundless,
prejudice in the Navy against battleships, the issue of battleships in the
fleet will, for some time, alas remain moot. Nevertheless, I feel there is
merit in those at your level knowing some of the background of this issue.
Maybe future Navy leadership will someday see the merit in having capital
ships which are highly survivable with extensive passive and active
protection and which could, therefore, operate with relative impunity in
high threat situations, (such as hostile actions or threats in the Persian
Gulf) and would mount highly visible major caliber guns (as well as smaller
guns) firing extended range projectiles (e.g., 500 mile range scramjet) and
have dozens of VLS cells for a variety of missiles. These ships would, in
most time frames, be capable of accurately laying down a far heavier and
varied load of ordance on targets distant and near than could be delivered
from a large carrier and do it all-weather and at much less expense in
operating costs and manpower. As a diplomatic/political visible show of
force instrument it would be ne plus ultra. (See the 2007 JAWS NSFS study on
the CSW concept.)
Bill Stearman